13 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect a 13 pip movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 06 May 12:15 UTC. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 May 12:15 UTC if the released value is > -20000K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Mar 13:15
05 Feb 13:15
08 Jan 13:15
05 Sep 12:15
31 Jul 12:15
01 May 12:15