15 pip movement on EURUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a 15 pip movement on EURUSD for the next 2 hours. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is > £-0.8B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jun 06:00
11 Mar 09:30
11 Feb 09:30
13 Jan 09:30
10 Oct 08:30
09 Aug 08:30