16 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect a 16 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 03 Feb 15:00 UTC. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 03 Feb 15:00 UTC if the released value is > 56.8

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Oct 14:00
05 Aug 14:00
06 Jul 14:00
05 May 14:00
03 Apr 14:00
04 Mar 15:00
05 Feb 15:00