16 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 7.8%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Jul 12:00
30 May 12:00
28 Apr 12:00
06 Jan 13:00
28 Oct 12:00