22 pip movement on EURUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect a 22 pip movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 23 Sep 02:00 UTC. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Sep 02:00 UTC if the released value is = 0.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Jun 02:00
12 Feb 01:00
08 May 02:00
13 Feb 01:00