22 pip movement on EURUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a 22 pip movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 12 Nov 07:00 UTC. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 12 Nov 07:00 UTC if the released value is > £-1.0B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Oct 06:00
12 Aug 06:00
12 Jun 06:00
11 Mar 09:30
11 Feb 09:30
13 Jan 09:30