24 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect a 24 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 19 Jan 13:30 UTC. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 19 Jan 13:30 UTC if the released value is > 1.65M

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Dec 13:30
21 Sep 12:30
16 Apr 12:30
21 Jan 13:30