Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a 35 pip movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jan 13:30 UTC. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jan 13:30 UTC if the released value is < 0.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Dec 13:30

14 Jun 12:30

01 Apr 12:30

14 Feb 13:30