38 pip movement on USDJPY expected

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect a 38 pip movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release at 20 Oct 12:30 UTC. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Oct 12:30 UTC if the released value is > 1.457M

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Aug 12:30
18 Mar 12:30
19 Feb 13:30
17 Dec 13:30