40 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a 40 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 13 Jul 12:30 UTC. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 Jul 12:30 UTC if the released value is > 4.9%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jun 12:30
13 Apr 12:30
13 Jan 13:30
10 Dec 13:30
11 Sep 12:30
12 Aug 12:30