41 pip movement on GBPUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a 41 pip movement on GBPUSD for the next 2 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is < -12% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Mar 12:30
13 Dec 13:30
14 Jun 12:30
15 May 12:30