66.67% probability that AUDUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 0.5% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Aug 12:30
15 May 12:30
15 Apr 12:30
17 Mar 12:30