66.67% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 1.457M Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 12:30
19 May 12:30
16 Apr 12:30
19 Nov 13:30