Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < -12% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Mar 12:30

13 Dec 13:30

14 Jun 12:30

15 May 12:30