66.67% probability that USDJPY may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 90.1

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jul 08:00
24 Jun 08:00
25 May 08:00
24 Feb 09:00