70% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Dec 03:30
03 Nov 03:30
06 Oct 03:30
01 Sep 04:30
04 Aug 04:30
05 May 04:30
19 Mar 03:30