71.43% probability that USDJPY may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > A$7.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 May 01:30
07 Apr 01:30
05 Mar 00:30
07 Nov 00:30
06 Aug 01:30