75% probability that ES may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Nov 13:30
11 Aug 12:30
13 Jul 12:30
10 Jun 12:30
13 Apr 12:30
13 Jan 13:30