75% probability that EURUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is = 7.9%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jan 13:30
14 Sep 12:30
10 Mar 13:30