75% probability that USDCAD may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 428K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jun 12:15
03 Feb 13:15
30 Sep 12:15