75% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, USDCHF may trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > ¥-100.8B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jan 23:50
17 Aug 23:50
18 Apr 23:50