80% probability that UB may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < £ -3.1B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Oct 06:00
12 Aug 06:00
13 Apr 06:00
12 Feb 07:00