80% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Feb 07:00
12 Oct 06:00
14 Sep 06:00
15 Jun 06:00