80% probability that USDCHF may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence Flash events in Euro Area, USDCHF may trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -20.5

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 May 14:00
21 Apr 14:00
21 Jan 15:00
22 Sep 14:00