83.33% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 2.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Feb 13:30
23 Dec 13:30
25 Nov 13:30
26 Aug 12:30
27 Jul 12:30