87.5% probability that USDCAD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > £2.8B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jun 06:00
11 Feb 09:30
10 Oct 08:30
09 Sep 08:30