Are you on the right side of Australia NAB Business Confidence news event?

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 28 Jan 00:30 if the released value is < 1. A price movement of 23 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Oct 00:30
14 May 01:30
01 Apr 00:30
12 Mar 00:30