Are you on the right side of France GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est news event?

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est events in France, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Apr 05:30 if the released value is < 0.1%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 05:30
31 Jan 06:30
30 Jul 05:30
27 Apr 05:30