Are you on the right side of France Unemployment Rate news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 88.89% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 Aug 05:30 if the released value is < 7.9%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Feb 06:30
13 Aug 05:30
14 May 05:30
13 Feb 06:30
14 Aug 05:30
16 May 05:30
20 Nov 06:30
14 Aug 05:30