Are you on the right side of Germany Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is < €17.4B. A price movement of 9 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Sep 06:00
09 Jul 06:00
09 Jan 07:00