Are you on the right side of Germany Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 09 Feb 07:00 if the released value is > €16.2B. A price movement of 19 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Nov 07:00
07 Aug 06:00
08 May 06:00
09 Mar 07:00
07 Feb 07:00