Are you on the right side of Germany Balance of Trade news event?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is < €17.4B. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Apr 06:00
09 Feb 07:00
09 Dec 07:00
08 Oct 06:00
09 Jul 06:00