Are you on the right side of Germany Ifo Business Climate news event?

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 25 Mar 09:00 if the released value is > 94.2. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Feb 09:00
25 Jan 09:00
24 Jun 08:00
26 Mar 09:00
22 Feb 09:00