Are you on the right side of Germany Ifo Business Climate news event?

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Sep 08:00 if the released value is < 93.8. A price movement of 4 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Mar 09:00