Are you on the right side of Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event?

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 13:00 if the released value is < 1.7%. A price movement of 30 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Nov 13:00
29 Aug 12:00
28 Mar 13:00
30 Jan 13:00