Are you on the right side of Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news event?

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Jan 08:30 if the released value is > 57. A price movement of 1,787 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Dec 08:30
23 Nov 08:30
23 Jul 07:30
23 Apr 07:30
24 Mar 08:30
19 Feb 08:30