Are you on the right side of Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news event?

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 21 Aug 07:30 if the released value is > 52.5. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jun 07:30
21 Feb 08:30
24 Jan 08:30
22 Nov 08:30
22 Aug 07:30