Are you on the right side of Germany Unemployment Rate news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Jan 08:55 if the released value is < 6.1%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Dec 08:55
29 Oct 08:55
30 Sep 07:55
01 Jul 07:55
31 Mar 07:55