Are you on the right side of Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index news event?

Based on the last 12 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 17 Mar 10:00 if the released value is < -26.4. A price movement of 8 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 10:00
13 Aug 09:00
18 Jun 09:00
14 May 09:00