Are you on the right side of Japan Inflation Rate YoY news event?

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 22 Oct 23:30 if the released value is > 0.1%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Sep 23:30
23 Apr 23:30
23 Jan 23:30
19 Dec 23:30