Are you on the right side of Japan Unemployment Rate news event?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is < 2.9%. A price movement of 7 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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29 Oct 23:30
30 Jul 23:30
28 May 23:30