Are you on the right side of United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 Oct 06:00 if the released value is < 78.8K. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 09:30
21 Jan 09:30