Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 17 Aug 06:00 if the released value is > -180K. A price movement of 8 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jul 06:00

15 Dec 07:00

11 Aug 06:00