Are you on the right side of United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is < -46K. A price movement of 35 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Sep 06:00
15 Jun 06:00
18 May 06:00
20 Apr 06:00
26 Jan 07:00
10 Nov 07:00