Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect CL to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect CL to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Mar 12:15 if the released value is < 450K. A price movement of 150 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Feb 13:15
01 Sep 12:15
04 Aug 12:15
31 Mar 12:15