Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Feb 13:15 if the released value is > 156K. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 13:15
31 Jul 12:15
01 May 12:15
30 Jan 13:15