Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Sep 12:15 if the released value is > 950K. A price movement of 31 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jun 12:15
01 Apr 12:15
08 Jan 13:15