Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Sep 12:15 if the released value is < 613K. A price movement of 35 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Aug 12:15
05 May 12:15
03 Mar 13:15
06 Jan 13:15
04 Nov 13:15
02 Sep 12:15