Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect HG to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect HG to trend downwards for 2 hours because the released value is < 207K. A price movement of 2 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Sep 12:15
05 May 12:15
31 Mar 12:15
03 Mar 13:15