Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 09 Sep 12:30 if the released value is > 2744K. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Aug 12:30
29 Jul 12:30
22 Jul 12:30
01 Jul 12:30
17 Jun 12:30